THIRUVANANTHAPURAM: Neither the ruling United Progressive Alliance (UPA) nor the opposition National Democratic Alliance (NDA) would have a clear majority in the next Lok Sabha elections, noted psephologist Yogendra Yadav predicted on Monday.
"No single pre-electoral alliance will have a clear cut majority and the worst losers will be the Left parties. While the Congress party will be able to hold on, its allies will be badly hit. Likewise, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will lose badly in states like Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Orissa," Yadav said at a seminar organised by the Kerala University's political science department here.
"It is only one way the tally of the Left will go and it will go down. From a historic high in the May 2004 polls, it would reach a historic low in the next polls. In Kerala, the performance of the Left will be poor," he said.
As far as the performance of the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) is concerned, the psephologist said it may not get the around 50-60 seats they are expecting to win.
"But they will play an important role and a government can be formed only with the outside support of two big parties," Yadav said.
Yadav has been in Kerala for the past few days and is doing an in-depth study on the prospects of various political parties.
