INDIA
DNA Web Team | Nov 09, 2019, 09:21 PM IST
1.Current position
The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Bulbul’ over northwest Bay of Bengal moved northeastwards with a speed of 11 kmph during past 06 hours, and lay centred at 2030 hrs IST of today, the 9 th November 2019, over northwest Bay of Bengal, near Lat.21.4°N and Long. 88.3°E about 40 km east-southeast of Sagar Islands (West Bengal), 85 km east-southeast of Digha, 125 km south-southwest of Kolkata,100 km south-southwest of Canning Town (west Bengal) and 210 km west-southwest of Khepupara (Bangladesh). The land fall process has started. Wall cloud region is entering into land. It is very likely to move northeastwards, weaken gradually and cross West Bengal - Bangladesh Coasts between Sagar Islands (West Bengal) and Khepupara (Bangladesh), across Sunderban delta during next 03 hours as a Severe Cyclonic Storm with maximum sustained wind speed of 110-120 Kmph gusting to 135 Kmph.
2.Rainfall
Light to moderate rainfall at most places very likely over coastal districts of West Bengal with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and extremely heavy falls ( ≥ 20 cm in 24 hours) at isolated places over North & South 24 Parganas, East Medinipur and isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall over West Medinipur, Howrah and Hooghly during next 12 hours.
(Photo: AFP)
3.Wind warning: West Bengal coast
Squally wind speed reaching 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph is prevailing along and off West Bengal coast. It will gradually increase becoming gale wind speed reaching 110-120 kmph gusting to 135 kmph during next 06 hours along & off West and East Medinipur and North & South 24 Parganas districts and decrease gradually thereafter. Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 Kmph gusting to 70 Kmph also likely over adjoining districts of West Medinipur, Howrah and Hooghly during the same period and strong wind speed reaching 30 - 40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph likely to prevail over Kolkata during the same period.
(Photo: AFP)
4.Storm Surge
Storm surge of about 1.0 to 2.0 meter height above Astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying areas of South and North 24 Parganas and 0.5-1.0 meter height above Astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying areas of east Medinipur during next 03 hours. The maximum extent of inundation is likely to be around 2 km over South and North 24 Parganas.
(Photo: AFP)
5.Fishermen Warning
* Total suspension of fishing operations over Odisha-West Bengal coasts till morning of 10th November.
* Fishermen are advised not to venture into Sea along & off Odisha – West Bengal coasts till 10th morning.
* Fishermen are advised not to venture into north Bay of Bengal for next 24 hours.
(Photo: AFP)
6.Damage Expected over coastal districts of West Bengal
* Major damage to thatched houses/ huts. Roof tops may blow off. Unattached metal sheets may fly.
* Minor damage to power and communication lines.
* Major damage to Kutcha and some damage to Pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes.
* Breaking of tree branches, uprooting of large avenue trees. Moderate damage to banana and papaya trees. Dead limbs blown from trees.
* Major damage to coastal crops.
* Damage to embankments/ salt pans.
* Small boats, country crafts may get detached from moorings.
(Photo: AFP)
7.Action suggested for coastal districts of West Bengal
* Total suspension of fishing operations till 10th morning.
* Coastal hutment dwellers to be moved to safer places. Mobilise evacuation from coastal areas of South and North 24 Parganas. People in affected areas to remain indoors.
* Rail and Road traffic to be regulated.
* Movement in motor boats and small ships unsafe.
* Beach movement to be restricted.
(Photo: AFP)
8.Post-Landfall Outlook
* After the landfall over Sunderban delta by night of today, the 9th November as a Severe Cyclonic Storm with a wind speed of 110-120 kmph gusting to 135 kmph, it is very likely to move east-northeastwards across Bangladesh and weaken gradually. As such, the system is expected to maintain Cyclone intensity till 10th morning over Bangladesh and adjoining areas of Gangetic West Bengal North and South 24 Parganas and Nadiya district.
* Under its influence, light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places very likely over North and South 24 Parganas and Nadiya districts of West Bengal till the morning of 10th November 2019.
* Gale wind speed reaching 110-120 kmph gusting to 135 kmph is likely over North and South 24 Parganas and Nadiya districts of West Bengal during the night of today, the 9 th November for the next 06 hours and decrease gradually thereafter becoming squally wind speed reaching 50-60 Kmph gusting to 70 Kmph over these districts till 10th morning.
* Squally wind speed reaching 40-50 Kmph gusting to 60 Kmph is likely over adjoining districts of West Medinipur, Howrah and Hooghly during the same period.
* Strong wind speed reaching, 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph is likely over Kolkata during the night of today, 9 th November 2019.
(Photo: AFP)
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