Trade ministers won't meet on Doha prospects soon: Sources

Trade ministers are unlikely to gather in late March as proposed to decide whether a deal is possible this year in the World Trade Organisation's long-running Doha round, trade sources said on Thursday.                                           

The WTO's ministerial conference agreed in December to take stock of the prospects in late March. But WTO director-general Pascal Lamy will tell the global trade body's general Council on Monday that there has not been enough progress in trade negotiations to bring in ministers for a decision, the sources said.                                          

Lamy took the decision at a meeting of key WTO delegations on Thursday at the end of a week of intense negotiations where Geneva-based ambassadors were reinforced by senior officials from national capitals.                                           

The decision underlines the mismatch in the eight-year-old talks, with presidents and prime ministers calling at summits for a Doha pact to boost the global economy in the wake of the crisis but failing to give their negotiators the leeway to cut a deal. 

"It's not clear who wants exactly what and who can't do precisely what," said one participant in Thursday's meeting.

Leaders at summits last year of the G20 rich and emerging countries and APEC Asian-Pacific grouping called for a deal by 2010 to open up world trade and help developing countries.      

A Doha agreement would cut rich nation''s trade-distorting farm subsidies and open up their markets to more food imports, while developing countries let in more manufactured goods.            

SECTORAL DEALS                                           
Negotiations in Geneva so far this year have made progress on some technical aspects of a deal, such as a safeguard to protect farmers in poor countries from a destabilising flood of imports by allowing a temporary rise in tariffs.                                           

Delegates are also moving ahead on trade facilitation -- proposals to help developing countries trade more by cutting red tape, attacking corruption and improving infrastructure.

But there has been little movement on the US demand, predating the Obama administration, for big emerging countries like Brazil, China and India to open up their markets more. 

In particular China and Brazil are resisting the US call for sectoral deals, in which import duties would be eliminated in individual industrial sectors like chemicals. 

Many delegates complain that the United States has not been specific enough in stating what it wants, or even that Washington is just not interested in a deal because of more pressing priorities such as healthcare or the financial crisis.                                           

The United States does not even have an ambassador at the WTO, as the confirmation of president Barack Obama's nominee, Michael Punke, has been held up in the Senate.

Punke was in Geneva this week taking part in the talks but as a consultant for US Trade Representative Ron Kirk, not a full negotiator.

Senior officials are due to gather again in the week of March 22 for negotiations, and will then discuss the next steps for the Doha talks the following week, in the run-up to Easter.

But Lamy and many others believe that the officials will not be able to decide whether a deal can be done. That is a political decision, requiring the participation of ministers.